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Extraordinary Popular Delusions and the Madness of Crowds

Charles Mackay

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Founder connections

  • Edward O. ThorpRecommended, with an accuracy caveat
    Asked directly in his 2022 Tim Ferriss interview whether he recommended Mackay’s book, Thorp said yes and noted that some details were inaccurate. His exact edition and extent of reading are not established.
    Source
  • Jim SimonsPraised in his original oral history
    In his AIP oral history Simons strongly praises Mackay’s work while discussing bubbles, then describes its accounts of financial manias, dueling and witch beliefs. He recalls the opening word as Great rather than Extraordinary; the distinctive title and contents resolve the work. His edition and full completion are unknown, and no trading result is attributed to the book.
    Source

Summary

Charles Mackay recounts episodes in which shared excitement or belief took hold of groups of people. His historical accounts include the Mississippi Scheme, the South Sea Bubble and Dutch tulip speculation. The original work also ranges beyond financial speculation into subjects such as alchemy, prophecies and witchcraft.

  • SourceCharles Mackay, Extraordinary Popular Delusions, Project Gutenberg original text · 1852 edition; original title and contents, Mississippi Scheme, South-Sea Bubble, Tulipomania and other collective beliefs

Why read it Our view

Useful for examining how a popular belief gathers strength and how that affects judgment. Mackay’s accounts give founders questions about the evidence behind a trend and the pressure to follow others; they are historical stories rather than a test of every modern market.